Sporting Sant Marçal vs Vilafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
79.8%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
6.5%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Sant Marçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CSP
3 - 4
SPO
83%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 3
ART
51%
20%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PDC
5 - 2
SPO
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 2
CFP
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
SPO
73%
16%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
CEC
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
VIL
18%
18%
65%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
LLO
2 - 6
VIL
4%
8%
89%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
8 - 2
FER
89%
7%
4%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
MDS
58%
19%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |