Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 7-4
Sporting CP vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
LGC
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
OLH
1 - 1
SCP
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1962 |
BMA
4 - 0
LGC
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1962 |
LGC
4 - 1
VIT
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
FAB
3 - 1
LGC
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
LGC
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
LGC
0 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |