Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 0
SCP
70%
16%
15%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
27%
23%
51%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
MTK
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
SCP
3 - 3
MTK
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 0
LGC
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
LYO
0 - 1
FCP
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCP
33%
25%
42%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1964 |
FCP
3 - 0
LYO
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1964 |
SLB
6 - 2
FCP
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |