Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 3
SCP
38%
20%
42%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ATL
2 - 2
SCP
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 5
SCP
8%
12%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 1
OLH
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VST
2 - 3
SCP
12%
16%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 1
ATL
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 3
FCP
75%
13%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
10%
14%
76%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
54%
19%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |