Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
FAB
0 - 1
SCP
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1964 |
CAR
0 - 0
SCP
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
LEX
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 2
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 0
SCP
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
ACA
3 - 0
LGC
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
ACA
5 - 0
SEI
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
VST
1 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
ACA
5 - 1
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |