Real Sporting vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
CON
1 - 0
SPO
48%
22%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
SPO
3 - 0
OSA
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
OVI
4 - 3
SPO
80%
11%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
SPO
1 - 2
OVI
39%
21%
40%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ESP
2 - 1
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 1
ALC
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
CUL
2 - 1
ZAR
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
VCF
0 - 1
ZAR
87%
9%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +3 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ZAR
2 - 4
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALA
72%
16%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |