Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-3
Real Sporting vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
3 - 2
SPO
50%
20%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
2 - 0
DEP
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SPO
4 - 0
DEP
73%
15%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
DEP
5 - 1
SPO
35%
22%
44%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
VAD
4 - 1
SPO
38%
22%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
3 - 2
SPO
50%
20%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
LEV
0 - 1
BAR
61%
19%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
BAR
2 - 2
RUN
60%
19%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1936 |
BAR
5 - 0
RSO
50%
21%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
SDE
2 - 0
BAR
29%
23%
49%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | -1 |