Sporting de Mahón vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+228%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting de Mahón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 6
SDM
54%
20%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
UDM
2 - 2
SDM
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
SDM
4 - 1
SLL
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FRR
3 - 0
SDM
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SDM
0 - 0
MNC
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PCE
4 - 0
ADC
87%
10%
4%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PCE
1 - 0
SAM
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MJG
1 - 1
PCE
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PCE
1 - 1
NTÑ
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 2
PCE
56%
20%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |