Copa Libertadores round 1

Sporting Cristal vs Universitario de Deportes analysis

Sporting Cristal Universitario de Deportes
70 ELO 74
-0.9% Tilt -8.8%
471º General ELO ranking 470º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
48.8%
Sporting Cristal
25.1%
Draw
26.1%
Universitario de Deportes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
Sporting Cristal
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.1%
Win probability
Universitario de Deportes
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Cristal
+10%
+11%
Universitario de Deportes

ELO progression

Sporting Cristal
Universitario de Deportes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Cristal
Sporting Cristal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 1995
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
52%
24%
24%
71 73 2 0
26 Jul. 1995
EME
CS Emelec
3 - 1
Sporting Cristal
SPC
53%
24%
22%
72 72 0 -1
04 May. 1995
SPC
Sporting Cristal
6 - 3
Caracas
CFC
55%
24%
22%
71 70 1 +1
26 Apr. 1995
CFC
Caracas
2 - 2
Sporting Cristal
SPC
55%
23%
21%
71 70 1 0
24 Mar. 1995
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 0
Bolívar
BOL
47%
27%
26%
70 76 6 +1

Matches

Universitario de Deportes
Universitario de Deportes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1994
IND
Independiente Medellín
2 - 0
Universitario de Deportes
UNI
63%
20%
18%
74 76 2 0
20 Apr. 1994
UNI
Universitario de Deportes
2 - 1
Independiente Medellín
IND
48%
24%
29%
74 77 3 0
15 Apr. 1994
UNI
Universitario de Deportes
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
51%
27%
23%
73 73 0 +1
08 Apr. 1994
UNI
Universitario de Deportes
0 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
54%
25%
21%
73 72 1 0
23 Mar. 1994
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 2
Universitario de Deportes
UNI
43%
26%
31%
73 67 6 0