SC Covilha vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
3 - 0
ORI
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
SCP
7 - 0
SPC
90%
7%
4%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
SPC
0 - 0
ATL
53%
22%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
5 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
BEL
3 - 0
VIT
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |