Sporting Cascajos vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
61.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ALB
3 - 3
SPO
72%
15%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
RAP
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 3
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
4 - 2
ALD
28%
20%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPO
61%
20%
19%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
PRM
56%
19%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 3
VIL
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 1
RAP
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 3
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
ALD
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |