Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 6-2
Sporting Braga vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LUS
0 - 3
SPB
18%
20%
62%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 0
SPB
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
SPB
5 - 0
FCB
72%
17%
12%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
BMA
5 - 1
SPB
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LUS
0 - 3
SPB
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1964 |
LUS
2 - 2
FER
23%
22%
55%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1964 |
FER
1 - 3
LUS
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +2 |