Sporting Braga vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
CLU
3 - 1
SPB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
PAM
1 - 3
SPB
2%
13%
85%
|
88 | 31 | 57 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 0
SPB
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
1 - 3
MUD
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SPB
0 - 2
FCP
45%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 0
DZG
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 3
FCP
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
DYN
0 - 0
FCP
33%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |