Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
4º
9º
4º
27
8º
17º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 77 |
1º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 67 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 43 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 27 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 1
SPB
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 0
HOF
42%
24%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LEX
0 - 2
SPB
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPB
2 - 4
SCP
42%
24%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
ELF
1 - 1
SPB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
EST
0 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EST
4 - 1
ARO
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 0
EST
5%
11%
84%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |