Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
SPB
1 - 3
ATL
58%
19%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 1
SPB
25%
21%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
34%
21%
46%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
VST
1 - 1
SPB
41%
22%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
EST
3 - 1
OLH
66%
15%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BOA
1 - 4
EST
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
EST
8 - 2
OEL
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
EST
6 - 2
VIT
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
88%
7%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |