Primeira Liga round 8

Sporting Braga vs Estoril analysis

Sporting Braga Estoril
73 ELO 78
0.1% Tilt -0.4%
85º General ELO ranking 866º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
42%
Sporting Braga
21.3%
Draw
36.7%
Estoril

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
Sporting Braga
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
36.7%
Win probability
Estoril
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sporting Braga
-4%
-5%
Estoril

ELO progression

Sporting Braga
Estoril
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1948
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 2
Sporting Braga
SPB
91%
6%
3%
72 88 16 0
28 Dec. 1947
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 3
Atlético CP
ATL
58%
19%
23%
73 72 1 -1
21 Dec. 1947
LUS
Lusitano VRSA
2 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
25%
21%
55%
74 55 19 -1
14 Dec. 1947
SPB
Sporting Braga
0 - 3
Porto
FCP
34%
21%
46%
74 80 6 0
07 Dec. 1947
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 1
Sporting Braga
SPB
41%
22%
38%
74 65 9 0

Matches

Estoril
Estoril
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1948
EST
Estoril
3 - 1
Olhanense
OLH
66%
15%
18%
78 73 5 0
28 Dec. 1947
BOA
Boavista
1 - 4
Estoril
EST
31%
21%
48%
77 60 17 +1
21 Dec. 1947
EST
Estoril
8 - 2
O Elvas
OEL
79%
12%
9%
77 66 11 0
14 Dec. 1947
EST
Estoril
6 - 2
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
79%
12%
9%
76 64 12 +1
07 Dec. 1947
SCP
Sporting CP
3 - 1
Estoril
EST
88%
7%
5%
77 88 11 -1