Sporting Braga vs AVS Futebol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
3º
9º
3º
24
9º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 79 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 79 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 70 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 69 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 55 |
5º
|
76% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 51 |
6º
|
56.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 50 |
7º
|
43.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 45 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 45 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 42 |
10º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 40 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 39 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 36 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 33 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 28 |
16º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 25 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 25 |
18º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
48% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
51.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
SCP
1 - 1
SPB
48%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SPB
2 - 1
ARO
60%
22%
19%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
SPB
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
RIO
2 - 1
SPB
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
AVE
0 - 3
EST
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
FAM
4 - 1
AVE
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FCP
2 - 0
AVE
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AVE
0 - 1
ARO
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
FAR
0 - 1
AVE
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |