Sporting Braga vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
VAR
3 - 3
SPB
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 1
LEX
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPB
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 0
VST
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SPB
2 - 1
UFT
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
ATL
3 - 1
BEL
44%
28%
29%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
SLB
4 - 3
ATL
89%
8%
4%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
14%
23%
63%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ACA
4 - 2
ATL
85%
10%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 1
FAB
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |