Sporting Braga II vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
BRA
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
OLI
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
0 - 0
BRA
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 2
LEX
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
PEN
2 - 1
BRA
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 3
NAC
5%
11%
84%
|
67 | 19 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
ACV
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 0
FAM
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |