Sport Victoria vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ATL
4 - 1
SPO
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 1
ALF
53%
22%
24%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 0
SPO
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
DZP
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DZP
3 - 0
SPO
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 15 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 0
SPO
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 1
ACR
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ACR
2 - 0
MUN
52%
22%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
MUN
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MUN
3 - 1
IDU
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |