Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
PET
0 - 0
SPO
10%
21%
70%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 39 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
PES
89%
8%
3%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 1
SPO
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 2
SER
87%
9%
3%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
BEL
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
0 - 4
NAU
19%
23%
58%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
5 - 3
CHA
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 35 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
PES
3 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |