Série A round 1

Sport Recife vs Ceará analysis

Sport Recife Ceará
71 ELO 75
3.7% Tilt -14.6%
150º General ELO ranking 138º
22º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Sport Recife
28.5%
Draw
34%
Ceará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Sport Recife
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34%
Win probability
Ceará
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sport Recife
+1%
+2%
Ceará

ELO progression

Sport Recife
Ceará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sport Recife
Sport Recife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2020
SPO
Sport Recife
5 - 0
Petrolina
PET
87%
10%
3%
71 34 37 0
01 Aug. 2020
SED
Decisão
0 - 3
Sport Recife
SPO
4%
10%
87%
71 29 42 0
29 Jul. 2020
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 0
Vitória das Tabocas
ACA
89%
9%
2%
71 26 45 0
25 Jul. 2020
FOR
Fortaleza EC
0 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
62%
22%
17%
71 77 6 0
23 Jul. 2020
SPO
Sport Recife
1 - 1
Confiança
CON
72%
18%
11%
71 55 16 0

Matches

Ceará
Ceará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2020
BAH
Bahía
0 - 1
Ceará
CEA
52%
26%
21%
76 79 3 0
01 Aug. 2020
CEA
Ceará
3 - 1
Bahía
BAH
39%
28%
33%
75 80 5 +1
29 Jul. 2020
FOR
Fortaleza EC
0 - 1
Ceará
CEA
55%
24%
21%
74 77 3 +1
25 Jul. 2020
CEA
Ceará
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
59%
23%
18%
74 64 10 0
23 Jul. 2020
CRB
CRB
1 - 2
Ceará
CEA
34%
27%
39%
74 66 8 0