Copa do Nordeste round 6

Sport Recife vs Botafogo PB analysis

Sport Recife Botafogo PB
78 ELO 54
-2.1% Tilt 0.5%
80º General ELO ranking 840º
Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
75.8%
Sport Recife
16.7%
Draw
7.5%
Botafogo PB

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
Sport Recife
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.5%
Win probability
Botafogo PB
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sport Recife
-4%
-4%
Botafogo PB

ELO progression

Sport Recife
Botafogo PB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sport Recife
Sport Recife
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Mar. 2016
AME
América PE
0 - 4
Sport Recife
SPO
7%
15%
78%
77 38 39 0
12 Mar. 2016
SPO
Sport Recife
4 - 0
Central SC
CEN
83%
13%
4%
77 43 34 0
10 Mar. 2016
FOR
Fortaleza EC
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
24%
24%
52%
78 65 13 -1
06 Mar. 2016
NAU
Náutico
1 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
23%
24%
53%
78 65 13 0
03 Mar. 2016
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 2
Ríver
RIV
82%
14%
4%
78 46 32 0

Matches

Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2016
BOT
Botafogo PB
0 - 0
Campinense
CAM
49%
25%
26%
55 55 0 0
17 Mar. 2016
LIN
Linense CA
1 - 1
Botafogo PB
BOT
58%
22%
19%
54 60 6 +1
13 Mar. 2016
BOT
Botafogo PB
2 - 0
Sousa
SOU
68%
19%
13%
54 43 11 0
11 Mar. 2016
BOT
Botafogo PB
1 - 1
Ríver
RIV
68%
19%
13%
55 45 10 -1
05 Mar. 2016
SAN
Santa Cruz PB
0 - 0
Botafogo PB
BOT
12%
19%
69%
55 28 27 0