Benfica Castelo Branco vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+73%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
COV
2 - 0
BEN
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
BEN
43%
29%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 1
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CRA
0 - 0
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRA
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
35%
27%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
5 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
NAV
0 - 1
UDL
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |