Benfica Castelo Branco vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
RDA
0 - 0
BEN
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 1
FAT
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
OLI
0 - 3
BEN
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BMA
1 - 2
BEN
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
GDF
78%
15%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
0 - 2
PRA
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GDF
1 - 1
USA
62%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
GDF
3 - 3
FAT
27%
23%
51%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |