Benfica Castelo Branco vs Bombarralense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
GDA
0 - 3
BEN
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 1
BEN
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
BEN
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 0
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Bombarralense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOM
1 - 2
PEN
23%
24%
53%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
BOM
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BOM
0 - 2
SOU
21%
23%
57%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
POM
3 - 0
BOM
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BOM
1 - 2
PAM
24%
23%
53%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |