Split vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
4 - 0
KAM
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NER
0 - 0
SPL
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
1 - 0
MAK
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JUN
3 - 1
SPL
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPL
3 - 1
NKH
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKD
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
0 - 0
SOL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BIJ
0 - 0
HNK
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
NKJ
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DUB
0 - 2
HNK
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |