Spielberg vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
STU
2 - 2
SPI
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SPI
3 - 0
REU
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SPI
1 - 0
VFR
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AAL
1 - 4
SPI
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SPI
3 - 1
FRE
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 2
PFU
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 3
KSC
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
RAV
3 - 2
FRE
20%
22%
57%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
GFR
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 0
FRE
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -2 |