Spartak Varna vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 1
SVA
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SVA
2 - 1
LKL
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
NAD
0 - 3
SVA
8%
16%
76%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DOB
1 - 1
SVA
26%
25%
50%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SVA
2 - 1
LOV
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SSO
1 - 0
LUD
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
LUD
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 0
CVA
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
OFK
1 - 3
LUD
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 1
MFF
39%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |