Spartak Tambov vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
10º
5º
37
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
KPP
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 3
KHI
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FDV
1 - 0
SPA
54%
25%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
STR
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKO
0 - 3
SPA
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
KPP
23%
23%
53%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 0
ZEN
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
FDV
27%
25%
48%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
STR
0 - 1
ZEN
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ZEN
3 - 0
FKO
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |