Spartak Tambov vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
10º
5º
32
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Tambov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 1
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
ZVE
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
SPA
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAK
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 2
KPP
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 0
ORE
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ORE
2 - 0
STR
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +3 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 1
ORE
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
ORE
3 - 5
SKA
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |