Spartak Moskva vs Krylia Sovetov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
4º
18
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 90% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
DIN
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
1 - 3
SPA
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 0
SPA
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 0
NAS
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
DIN
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Krylia Sovetov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 0
KRS
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
1 - 3
FCR
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
0 - 4
ZEN
21%
25%
55%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KHI
2 - 2
KRS
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KRS
6 - 0
SOK
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |