Europa League Grupo C round 1

Spartak Moskva vs Legia Warszawa analysis

Spartak Moskva Legia Warszawa
79 ELO 78
8.6% Tilt 9.2%
397º General ELO ranking 519º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57%
Spartak Moskva
22.9%
Draw
20.1%
Legia Warszawa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
Spartak Moskva
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.1%
Win probability
Legia Warszawa
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spartak Moskva
+14%
+31%
Legia Warszawa

ELO progression

Spartak Moskva
Legia Warszawa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spartak Moskva
Spartak Moskva
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2021
SPA
Spartak Moskva
3 - 1
FK Khimki
KHI
61%
21%
18%
79 72 7 0
26 Aug. 2021
SPA
Spartak Moskva
1 - 2
Sochi
SOC
50%
24%
27%
80 79 1 -1
21 Aug. 2021
ARS
Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
Spartak Moskva
SPA
27%
24%
49%
80 70 10 0
14 Aug. 2021
SPA
Spartak Moskva
1 - 0
Ural Yekaterinburg
URA
64%
21%
16%
80 72 8 0
10 Aug. 2021
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Spartak Moskva
SPA
65%
19%
16%
80 87 7 0

Matches

Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2021
SLA
Śląsk Wrocław
1 - 0
Legia Warszawa
WAR
47%
26%
28%
78 77 1 0
29 Aug. 2021
WIS
Wisla Kraków
1 - 0
Legia Warszawa
WAR
37%
26%
36%
78 71 7 0
26 Aug. 2021
WAR
Legia Warszawa
2 - 1
Slavia Praha
SLP
30%
26%
44%
78 83 5 0
19 Aug. 2021
SLP
Slavia Praha
2 - 2
Legia Warszawa
WAR
63%
20%
16%
78 83 5 0
14 Aug. 2021
WAR
Warta Poznan
0 - 2
Legia Warszawa
WAR
30%
28%
42%
77 70 7 +1