Spartak Kostroma vs Zvezda St. Petersburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
59.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-87%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
3º
25
8º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 16 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 6 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Kostroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LUK
1 - 3
SPA
37%
25%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
KHI
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
SPA
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
DVO
55%
21%
24%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TVE
0 - 2
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Zvezda St. Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ZSP
0 - 1
TOR
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ZSP
0 - 2
OLY
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
KAM
1 - 2
ZSP
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FBK
0 - 1
ZSP
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
ZSP
3 - 2
YSP
77%
16%
7%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |