Sparta Rotterdam vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
15º
14
17º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
3% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
AJA
22%
22%
57%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
RKC
1 - 2
UTR
19%
21%
60%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
2 - 1
RKC
69%
18%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 1
ZWO
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
RKC
4 - 1
BVO
38%
23%
38%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
RKC
50%
24%
25%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |