SPAL vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ABN
2 - 0
SPA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 1
SPA
47%
28%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
SIE
3 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIE
2 - 0
MOD
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
SIE
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
SIE
3 - 1
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 3
SIE
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |