Serie B round 15

SPAL vs Pistoiese analysis

SPAL Pistoiese
58 ELO 62
-5.5% Tilt -22.9%
2087º General ELO ranking 7239º
57º Country ELO ranking 235º
ELO win probability
55.1%
SPAL
26.5%
Draw
18.4%
Pistoiese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
SPAL
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
18.4%
Win probability
Pistoiese
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SPAL
-17%
+22%
Pistoiese

ELO progression

SPAL
Pistoiese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 1979
PAR
Parma
1 - 0
SPAL
SPA
47%
31%
23%
60 53 7 0
09 Dec. 1979
SPA
SPAL
1 - 0
Genoa
GEN
53%
27%
20%
59 63 4 +1
02 Dec. 1979
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 1
SPAL
SPA
56%
27%
17%
59 57 2 0
25 Nov. 1979
SPA
SPAL
2 - 2
Lecce
LEC
62%
24%
14%
59 57 2 0
18 Nov. 1979
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Brescia
BRE
60%
24%
16%
59 57 2 0

Matches

Pistoiese
Pistoiese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 1979
PIS
Pistoiese
4 - 1
Sambenedettese
SSS
62%
25%
14%
61 55 6 0
09 Dec. 1979
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
51%
28%
21%
61 57 4 0
25 Nov. 1979
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 1
Pistoiese
PIS
46%
30%
24%
61 56 5 0
18 Nov. 1979
PIS
Pistoiese
1 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
50%
29%
21%
60 63 3 +1
11 Nov. 1979
CES
Cesena
0 - 1
Pistoiese
PIS
50%
29%
21%
60 61 1 0