SPAL vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2020 |
GEN
2 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 3
UDI
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 0
SPA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 2
ACM
14%
25%
61%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
NAP
3 - 1
SPA
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
INT
3 - 1
TOR
69%
18%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
VER
2 - 2
INT
18%
23%
59%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
INT
1 - 2
BOL
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
INT
6 - 0
BRE
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 2
INT
16%
24%
61%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |