SPAL vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
LAZ
4 - 0
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
SPA
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
BAR
2 - 0
SPA
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
BOL
3 - 1
SPA
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SPA
3 - 2
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
FIO
3 - 0
UDI
83%
11%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
TOR
0 - 0
FIO
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
FCL
0 - 3
FIO
42%
24%
35%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1960 |
FIO
4 - 0
LAZ
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
46%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |