Serie B round 31

SPAL vs Brescia analysis

SPAL Brescia
61 ELO 58
-10.2% Tilt -10.8%
2076º General ELO ranking 655º
57º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
59.9%
SPAL
25.4%
Draw
14.7%
Brescia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
SPAL
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
14.7%
Win probability
Brescia
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SPAL
-14%
-5%
Brescia

ELO progression

SPAL
Brescia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1975
REG
Reggiana
2 - 1
SPAL
SPA
46%
29%
25%
61 57 4 0
20 Apr. 1975
SPA
SPAL
2 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
50%
29%
21%
61 66 5 0
13 Apr. 1975
BRI
Brindisi
2 - 2
SPAL
SPA
42%
30%
28%
61 55 6 0
06 Apr. 1975
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Calcio Foggia
USF
55%
27%
18%
61 62 1 0
30 Mar. 1975
USA
FC Alessandria
1 - 2
SPAL
SPA
46%
29%
25%
60 56 4 +1

Matches

Brescia
Brescia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 1975
PES
Pescara
1 - 1
Brescia
BRE
63%
23%
14%
59 63 4 0
20 Apr. 1975
BRE
Brescia
1 - 1
FC Alessandria
USA
58%
27%
16%
59 56 3 0
13 Apr. 1975
VER
Hellas Verona
2 - 2
Brescia
BRE
70%
21%
10%
59 72 13 0
06 Apr. 1975
BRE
Brescia
2 - 0
Reggiana
REG
55%
28%
17%
58 57 1 +1
30 Mar. 1975
PRG
Perugia
1 - 0
Brescia
BRE
64%
24%
12%
58 64 6 0