SPAL vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
REG
2 - 1
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 2
PAL
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BRI
2 - 2
SPA
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
SPA
0 - 0
USF
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
USA
1 - 2
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1975 |
PES
1 - 1
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 1
USA
58%
27%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
VER
2 - 2
BRE
70%
21%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
BRE
2 - 0
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
BRE
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |