Sporting Guardés vs U.D. Mos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Guardés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ERI
3 - 4
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 2
CAS
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 1
GUA
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 1
PUE
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U.D. Mos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 1
GON
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ERI
2 - 0
MOS
50%
22%
28%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 1
PRO
50%
22%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
MOS
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
ARE
40%
21%
39%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |