League One round 15

Southend United vs Gillingham analysis

Southend United Gillingham
62 ELO 57
-7.5% Tilt 10.7%
3269º General ELO ranking 2457º
104º Country ELO ranking 77º
ELO win probability
50.5%
Southend United
25.4%
Draw
24.1%
Gillingham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
Southend United
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.1%
Win probability
Gillingham
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southend United
-8%
-15%
Gillingham

ELO progression

Southend United
Gillingham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southend United
Southend United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2009
CUM
Carlisle United
2 - 1
Southend United
SOU
37%
26%
37%
62 57 5 0
17 Oct. 2009
SOU
Southend United
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
41%
27%
32%
62 64 2 0
09 Oct. 2009
SOU
Southend United
1 - 3
Southampton
SOU
40%
26%
34%
63 64 1 -1
06 Oct. 2009
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 0
Southend United
SOU
54%
23%
23%
64 69 5 -1
03 Oct. 2009
STO
Stockport County
0 - 2
Southend United
SOU
41%
25%
34%
63 59 4 +1

Matches

Gillingham
Gillingham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2009
GIL
Gillingham
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
CHA
29%
27%
44%
58 69 11 0
17 Oct. 2009
MKD
Milton Keynes Dons
2 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
65%
21%
14%
58 70 12 0
13 Oct. 2009
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
43%
25%
32%
59 55 4 -1
10 Oct. 2009
GIL
Gillingham
3 - 2
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
53%
26%
21%
59 56 3 0
06 Oct. 2009
GIL
Gillingham
0 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
35%
25%
40%
60 64 4 -1