Premier League round 14

Southampton vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis

Southampton Oldham Athletic AFC
80 ELO 76
-5.9% Tilt 5.3%
159º General ELO ranking 3538º
21º Country ELO ranking 113º
ELO win probability
53%
Southampton
25.7%
Draw
21.3%
Oldham Athletic AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
Southampton
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
21.4%
Win probability
Oldham Athletic AFC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
-5%
+73%
Oldham Athletic AFC

ELO progression

Southampton
Oldham Athletic AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 1992
SOU
Southampton
0 - 2
Crystal Palace
CRY
52%
23%
25%
80 80 0 0
24 Oct. 1992
MAC
Manchester City
1 - 0
Southampton
SOU
53%
24%
23%
80 82 2 0
17 Oct. 1992
SOU
Southampton
2 - 2
Wimbledon FC
WIM
45%
27%
28%
80 82 2 0
07 Oct. 1992
SOU
Southampton
3 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
87%
10%
4%
80 54 26 0
03 Oct. 1992
SHE
Sheffield United
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
44%
27%
30%
80 79 1 0

Matches

Oldham Athletic AFC
Oldham Athletic AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 1992
SWI
Swindon Town
0 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
46%
23%
31%
76 71 5 0
24 Oct. 1992
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
46%
26%
28%
76 83 7 0
17 Oct. 1992
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 1
Oldham Athletic AFC
OLD
64%
22%
15%
77 83 6 -1
07 Oct. 1992
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
0 - 0
Exeter City
EXE
94%
4%
2%
77 54 23 0
04 Oct. 1992
OLD
Oldham Athletic AFC
1 - 0
Everton
EVE
47%
25%
28%
76 83 7 +1