Southampton vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 1
BUR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
WOL
0 - 0
SOU
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
HUL
1 - 1
SOU
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
SOU
3 - 4
LEE
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 0
SOU
29%
26%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
REA
3 - 0
LUT
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
LUT
2 - 0
CRY
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
LUT
4 - 1
CRE
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 0
LUT
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LUT
2 - 3
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |