Premier League round 7

Southampton vs Liverpool analysis

Southampton Liverpool
83 ELO 91
-1.2% Tilt -1.3%
159º General ELO ranking
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.4%
Southampton
27.1%
Draw
44.5%
Liverpool

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
Southampton
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.5%
Win probability
Liverpool
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Southampton
-5%
+6%
Liverpool

ELO progression

Southampton
Liverpool
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 1986
MUD
Manchester United
5 - 1
Southampton
SOU
59%
23%
18%
83 87 4 0
06 Sep. 1986
SOU
Southampton
1 - 3
Nottingham Forest
NTT
48%
25%
27%
83 85 2 0
02 Sep. 1986
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
45%
26%
29%
83 86 3 0
30 Aug. 1986
NOR
Norwich City
4 - 3
Southampton
SOU
48%
25%
27%
83 81 2 0
26 Aug. 1986
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 1
Southampton
SOU
57%
23%
20%
83 83 0 0

Matches

Liverpool
Liverpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 1986
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 0
Charlton Athletic
CHA
84%
11%
5%
91 72 19 0
06 Sep. 1986
WHU
West Ham
2 - 5
Liverpool
LIV
38%
27%
35%
91 85 6 0
03 Sep. 1986
LEI
Leicester
2 - 1
Liverpool
LIV
24%
27%
49%
91 76 15 0
30 Aug. 1986
LIV
Liverpool
2 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
75%
16%
9%
91 84 7 0
25 Aug. 1986
LIV
Liverpool
0 - 0
Manchester City
MAC
85%
11%
4%
91 77 14 0