Southampton vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
SOU
4 - 0
COV
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1978 |
SOU
2 - 1
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
MAC
1 - 2
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
SOU
1 - 0
BIR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
LEE
4 - 0
SOU
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 0
BRI
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
MID
7 - 2
CHL
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 1
ASV
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
CHL
0 - 1
MUD
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
LEE
2 - 1
CHL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |