Southampton vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ARS
6 - 1
SOU
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 3
MUD
11%
21%
68%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
STE
1 - 4
SOU
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 2
WIG
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 2
SOU
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ASV
2 - 0
SWA
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
ASV
3 - 0
TRA
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 0
ASV
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |