Southampton vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
SOU
0 - 0
QPR
72%
16%
11%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
NTT
0 - 1
SOU
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
SOU
0 - 1
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
WBA
1 - 0
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1983 |
SOU
1 - 2
TOT
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1983 |
WOL
1 - 2
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
ARS
2 - 1
LUT
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1983 |
WHU
1 - 3
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
ARS
0 - 1
SUN
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |