South Melbourne vs Canberra Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
ADE
1 - 1
SOU
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
MEL
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SOU
3 - 0
GIF
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
NZK
1 - 0
SOU
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Canberra Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
CCO
3 - 0
SYD
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
CSC
2 - 0
CCO
78%
14%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1999 |
CCO
1 - 1
PER
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
PAP
2 - 3
CCO
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
CCO
0 - 1
BRI
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |