South Melbourne vs Albirex Niigata S analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
HEU
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
VTC
0 - 6
SOU
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOU
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
SWE
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 2
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata S
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2011 |
TAN
1 - 2
ALB
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
ALB
4 - 2
CYL
68%
20%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 1
LCS
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TAM
3 - 1
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ALB
5 - 0
WOO
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | +1 |