South Coast Wolves vs South Melbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SOU
0 - 0
NCB
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
BRI
2 - 1
SOU
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
ADE
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
SYD
3 - 3
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
MEL
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
South Melbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 2
BRI
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
SYD
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
GIF
0 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 3
CWA
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
1 - 0
MEL
43%
22%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |